Self driving trucks

157862

{"replyTo":"

631628 发表于 2019-04-10 01:02:27 wow, an anonymous internet user who's capable of eloquently describing their position on something while using empirical evidence. there is hope for mankind.

","text":"Thank you. (Note, I finally created my handle here)","replyToPid":10770}

691444

{"replyTo":"","text":"It will happen Elon musk will get it done by 2022 long haul will be a thing of the pass ","replyToPid":0}

691444

{"replyTo":"

157862 发表于 2019-04-09 15:10:15 Self driving is already a reality.   At least one company has demonstrated cross - country drive.   However!   Self-driving does  NOT mean \"unattended\".   All autonomous vehicles ( in the US, anyway) require a competent driver  to be in the driver's seat at all times.  That's not going to change any time soon \n\nAs for those autonomous car wrecks - they'll not set anything back.  They, in fact, demonstrate just how safe the darn things are- millions of miles (collectively) on autonomous cars, and we can count the number of accidents on our fingers.   Try that with your basic Subaru

","text":"For now but once the technology proves that is safer than humans it won’t need supervision ","replyToPid":10420}

157862

{"replyTo":"","text":"No argument.  It’s pretty near that point now.  However, i wasn’t referring to capabilities.   Rather, legalities.  I think it’s going to be well after my life is over before truly autonomous vehicles will be allowed on city streets.\n\nI see the progression something like this:\n\nLong haul- distances of more than 200 miles- will go autonomous first, with trucks running between depots near major cities.  At the depots, local “drivers” will board and supervise local deliveries (fueling and inspecting the truck)\n\nTrucks not stopping at that particular city will be routed around.\n\nThe encroachment: the bypass routes will get closed - temporarily, of course- for wrecks, construction, rains if frogs.  So the trucks that would normally circle around the city have to be routed through- temporarily, of course.  Eventually, routing through will become the norm.  At the same time, trucks arriving for local delivery will start collecting their drivers closer and closer to the driver’s home.\nThat’s going to mean street- level autonomous driving.\n\nAfter that, rather than drivers, there will be “specialists” who supervise at the customer. Transactions - loading and unloading - will largely be automated, also.(  Anheuser-Busch already automated loading. Others probably do, as well)\n\nMy time frame for this?  Not less than 50 years, probably closer to 100.  Again, not because of technological hurdles, but Frankenstein.  The changes will come generationally.  As each generation becomes comfortable (oblivious to) with each succeeding change, the next generation will push the limits.\n\nThe crash rate will drop significantly during the first phase, as automobiles will also go\nSupervised autonomous at the same time.\n\nI THINK “rush hour” will not become a historical curiosity, but will become much less severe (relative to population and infrastructure).  A significant portion of current rush crush is a direct result of ... let’s call it “individualistic driving styles” ( raging idiots is such a harsh phrase).  Coupled with telecommuting and shifted work hours, autonomous cars will seriously improve the commute. (Public transportation will not- CAN not- make a serious difference)","replyToPid":0}